Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

Sunday, June 16, 2019

Hybrid Airships Will Change the Economics of Asia and Africa







We are very close to waking up one day and finding ourselves in Fringe’s Alternative Universe. You can always tell by the airships’ sedate glide above the skyscrapers. Appropriately, it is on the fringe of engineering that the hybrid airship has quietly come about. 

The first powered flight was an airship 51 years before the Wright brothers. A Frenchman by the name of Jules Henri Giffard attached a 3 horsepower steam engine to a cigar-shaped lifting bag and piloted it 17 miles in Paris at 6 miles per hour. 

The Zeppelin airship, a rigid frame with cloth cover and internal lifting bags, was built by Count Ferdinand von Zeppelin in 1895. The luxury class flying industry it brought about died along with 36 passengers in the flames of the Hindenburg crash in May of 1937.

The airship had a lot going for it. It could carry a large payload faster than a passenger liner. There was very little turbulence and it had an impressive range. They can hover or turn in place. Flying low, they don’t typically require pressurization. 

And it had some serious drawbacks. It required attentive ground crews to keep it near the ground when loading and unloading. It was vulnerable to wind gusts on the ground and in the air, where it avoided bad weather at all costs. Hangar space had to be huge and, therefore, expensive. They were so huge, an old German airship hangar was converted into a large, covered waterpark. Using hydrogen in conjunction with flammable construction material was bad, bad, bad. 

Because a lot of these bad things are surmountable, a company has decided to bring back the airship. It is a hybrid airship called Airlander. It is hybrid because it gets its lift from three sources; helium-filled bag, wing-shaped lifting body, and thrusters. Using these in combination allows the ship to land like a plane but with a much shorter runway. It can also hover and come straight down. It carries its own anchor mast and can withstand 80 kilometer winds without a hangar. Which is the point. It doesn’t need a hangar and requires only a two-person ground crew for the Airlander 10 with a 10 metric ton capacity and none for the Airlander 50 with a 50 ton capacity. Production models are expected to be in the air by 2020. 

While there is a lot of hoopla about commercial passenger flying, heavy cargo transport is a given with the airship. Especially since it can go anywhere and land on any flat surface, including water without the need of a runway or hangar.  

Africa is an undeveloped continent just waiting for the Airlander to open it up. There are many places in Africa that don’t have access by paved road or the existing roads are unpaved and in poor condition. This is a severe restraint to travel and trade. With a hybrid airship, one could access the farthest reaches of a country with heavy equipment, prefab buildings, or hundreds of people at a time without roads. There are many parts of Asia on a par with Africa as far as undeveloped infrastructure. 

And who is at the forefront of acquiring and utilizing this technology? The Chinese. They are in line to receive three of the first ten manufactured Airlanders, which begins manufacturing in 2020. Just like they envisioned the importance of rare earth minerals 20 years ago and set out to dominate that market, the Chinese have realized the importance of roadless transportation, especially with regards to Africa and undeveloped parts of Asia. 

The Airlander is not the only airship China has in mind. Soon there will be an airship assembly line in Jingmen, China. With designs from French company Flying Whales, a Chinese company, China Aviation Industry General Aircraft Co., Ltd. (CAIGA), will soon be pumping out airships to use for logging in Asia beginning in 2022. These ships are twice as long as a Boeing 747 and will lift 60 tons of cargo. 

Electric propulsion is already being studied for the Airlander and there seems to be no roadblocks to the airship becoming fully electric or a hybrid electric. In the latter case, the Airlander will become a hybrid hybrid airship. Sounds silly, but imagine a swath of flexible solar cells blanketing the enormous surface of an airship feeding several lithium ion batteries that would feel comfortable aboard a Tesla. If it works on the Airlander, it will work on any airship. 

Back to the 60 metric ton behemoths being built in China. That’s 132,277 pounds of payload. If it were passengers instead of logs, and we say the average weight of a human is 150 pounds then these ships could carry 882 passengers. That’s not true because there must be seats and luggage compartments and other stuff. It would only carry about 500 passengers. Now make the airship electric, and you have the cheapest airline in the world. No fuel costs. Not the fastest, but a lot of people would forego speed for thrift in the third world economies. 

Okay, so we won’t be in Fringe’s Alternate Universe, but it will look damn close except for those Chines symbols on the sides of the airships floating by. The rest of the world needs to realize the potential of this industry. Expensive infrastructure for travel and freight can be eliminated. Roads, airports, fuel stations will be much less important going forward once these airships are put in production and utilized to their maximum potential. The Hindenburg is dead! Long live the Hindenburg!


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Outfitting a Mined Asteroid Into a Luxury Solar System Shuttle

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The Environmental Advantage of a Space Elevator




Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS): The Existential Technology We Are Ignoring






There May Be a Quadrillion Dollars Lying About on the Moon

Mining That First Asteroid - Manned Mission or AI?

A Convergence of Technologies Will Create a New Age of Space Exploration



The Space Habitat Revisited and Revised



























Monday, May 6, 2019

The U.S. Must Recycle Recycling





Looking in recycling bins around my neighborhood, I see stuff that shouldn’t be there. It’s single stream recycling, everything in one bin. And I mean everything. Cardboard contaminated with grease or lots of plastic tape, plastic that’s not recyclable, general trash, styrofoam, envelopes with the little plastic windows. it’s a mess. This is a nice neighborhood. Houses are going for $650,000 to $1,400,000. No, I am not wealthy. My house is a teardown. It will be the lot for one of these McMansions. I know it’s profiling, but I assumed people here would know how to recycle, but they don’t. They are, apparently, just like the millions of other people in the U.S. that feel good about recycling, but the Chinese think their recycling stinks because … well, it does. Too much of it was garbage and winding up in Chinese landfills and incinerators instead of being recycled, so the Chinese government put a stop to it with the 2017 passage of the National Sword policy. 

Now, I know that you do recycling correctly. I’m not talking about you. I’m talking about all those other people out there that put plastic grocery bags, shower curtains, or garden hose in the recycling bin. Also, there should be no shredded paper, clothing, scrap metal, needles or medical waste, bubble wrap, aluminum foil, drinking glasses, non-recyclable plastics, hazardous waste, dirty diapers, liquids, frozen food containers (polymer film on the cardboard), and no caps or lids on glass bottles or jars. 

The problem has been going on a long time, and China isn’t the only nation being persnickety about what winds up on their shores, and America isn’t the only perp. Six years ago, Canada sent 103 shipping containers to the Philippines containing recyclable plastic. Inspectors there determined it to be regular household garbage. Philippine President Duterte is livid and threatens to declare war on Canada if they don’t take it back. 

There are great benefits to recycling. It reduces the amount of waste going to landfills and incinerators. It conserves natural resources such as water, metals, minerals, and timber. It saves energy. It helps create jobs. Besides, it just feels right, like you’re doing something to save the world. Don’t get carried away. It’s going to take more than recycling to defeat climate change, like voting for someone that gives a shit. 

I think recycling went wrong with the advent of single stream recycling. Material Recovery Facilities (MRFs) are semi-automatic, sorters using a lot of clever gadgets and software to sort single stream recycling. They are good but not that good. Plus, they cost a lot of money; and they still need people to keep watch and help out when the fans, magnets, eddy currents, and optical sorters miss something. Even with all those gizmos and people to sort trash, what comes out of a MFR is still dirtier than what recycling used to be. Once upon a time, the recycling center could count on the stuff it received to be as advertised. Everything was separated out. A quick glance could determine cleanliness or lack thereof. It was a much cheaper way to recycle but required more thought and time from the recyclables producer.

The first material recovery facility was Resource Recovery Systems in Branford, Connecticut in the 70s. The idea spread, apparently because it was thought to be a positive in selling recycling to the American public. Convenience, convenience, convenience. When China started taking in recyclables thirty years ago, MRFs served us well in getting all that stuff into cargo containers headed somewhere else besides American incinerators and landfills. There were plenty of empty cargo containers from all the consumer goods China was shipping to the U.S. At the same time, however, shipping plastic recycling to China put the quietus on good ole U.S. of A. recycling centers where this stuff could be turned back into usable plastic. 

Sounds like a great opportunity for a young, smart startup team. If China won’t do it, by golly, we will. There’s another problem. The price for recycled plastic as a commodity has gone from a peak of about $300 per ton to “… costing more to collect, process, (and) ultimately produce recycled materials today than they’re worth.” That’s from Peter Keller, a vice president of Republic Services.  

The Chinese won’t take it, and the price for it is in the crapper. Municipalities with recycling programs are really in a pickle. All over the nation, they are pretending to pick up recycling, but it is being diverted to landfills or incinerators. It’s going on right here in Houston. Home owners all over the city have video footage of trucks picking up both trash and recycling. They are very upset that their recycling is going the same place as the garbage. I don’t blame them. Some people spend a lot of time washing out containers, taking tape off of cardboard, etc. The mayor claims the “sanitation engineer” made an error, but I don’t think he’s telling the whole story. The order to send recyclables to the landfill comes from the top. There’s nothing else they can do with it. The recycling centers were just fronts for shipping this stuff to China. They don’t have the facilities to actually turn it back into useful material that domestic industries will buy. 

So, now what do we do? For one thing, we should cut down on the use of throw-away plastic in our lives. It will be difficult. Carry your own utensils? Stainless steel personal straws (telescoping to fit in your pocket)?  

If companies are going to ship their products, they should come up with something better than plastic for shipping padding. Take a lightweight metal screen, shape it around a product, leaving screen around the product the size of the shipping box. Swish that screen through a vat of paper fiber in one direction, let it dry, and pop it out—a custom made paper mache packing insert for the product. It’s effective and recyclable. If companies that rely on shipping did this, it would do away with megatons of plastic that is not ordinarily recyclable. 

We should also consider taking sorting to the next step for plastics. Separate each plastic by number in its own bin and make sure it’s clean. Also, have municipalities pay the consumer for the recycled material. It doesn’t have to be much. Make it a $5 monthly rebate on the trash pickup or water bill for some minimum of material collected.

With clean, presorted plastic as feedstock, the government could then provide low cost loans as an incentive to restart American recycling centers. If we can get plastic recycling to where it’s not losing that much money, it will be in good shape the next time oil prices head skyward. Then we can bask in the glow of non-stinky recyclables and tell the Chinese “no” you can’t have them, even if they ask nicely. 


Other articles you may enjoy:



Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS): The Existential Technology We Are Ignoring






There May Be a Quadrillion Dollars Lying About on the Moon

Mining That First Asteroid - Manned Mission or AI?

A Convergence of Technologies Will Create a New Age of Space Exploration



The Space Habitat Revisited and Revised


























Saturday, April 20, 2019

Nations at Risk of Becoming Psychological Echo Chambers: China Sets Worrisome Precedent






Through various methods including iP blocking, VPN blocking, DNS spoofing, URL filtering, packet filtering, and TCP connection resets, China has erected what some call the ‘Great Firewall of China’.  China also blocks about 10,000 foreign websites including major sites used by the rest of the world such as Gmail, Facebook, Twitter, Google Maps, and YouTube. Although China's control of the internet is not complete and there are ways to get around it, VPNs being the most popular, the threat of punitive retaliation acts as the major control of the internet in China. 



Ostensibly, the main reason for the firewall has been to protect domestic companies providing similar websites to what Google, Facebook and other major internet players have developed for the rest of the world. The ancillary, and more chilling reason, is the amount of control and power it gives the central government. 

In acoustics, an echo chamber is a hollow enclosure wherein sound reverberates. In our information environment, an echo chamber describes a situation where beliefs are modified by information, false or otherwise, and repetition. This psychological echo chamber that China has built is the envy of some other nations leaning toward autocratic leadership. Russia has signed a pact with China for help from its internet engineers in setting up a similar system. Zimbabwe, Vietnam, Thailand, and Cuba have also expressed interest in something similar to China’s control of the internet. 

These nations and their cultures, should they follow up with this desire, may become insular and sterile. Who knows? This insulation from the rest of the world may create islands of diverse cultures, spur innovation, and allow natural talent to flourish without the world telling it what can and cannot be done. However, this makes it much easier for these governments to manipulate the hearts and minds of their population. Even if you aren’t an evil, power-hungry, sadistic bastard of a leader, what the hell would you want with that much power unless you were hungry for power. 

This is exactly what is going on in China right now. There are the stories of a million Chinese muslims being “re-educated”  and rumors of foreigners in general getting the cold shoulder, arrested, even “disappeared” - especially if they espouse human rights or freedom of speech. Falun Gong members are being hunted down, jailed, and persecuted using the internet. 

I can write about this stuff with impunity because one, the U.S. is a free country; and two, it will not get back to Xi Jinping. All kidding aside, this is a worrying trend. A dictator or tyrant can hide behind his firewall and foment strife between segments of his society, increasing chances of civil war or war with other nations. Hopefully, other countries will back off the idea of internet firewalls simply because it represents such a large possibility of misuse. If not, it could be a serious impediment to the progress of humanity in general and to those countries in particular. 



Other articles you may enjoy:



There May Be a Quadrillion Dollars Lying About on the Moon

Mining That First Asteroid - Manned Mission or AI?

A Convergence of Technologies Will Create a New Age of Space Exploration



The Space Habitat Revisited and Revised































Wednesday, July 4, 2018

China’s Strategy for the Future Is Scary Smart


by Glen Hendrix

Long March 2. Long March 9 will be 4x bigger and deliver 18x the payload. Courtesy Wikimedial

When most Americans think of the Chinese, they think of an industrious, intelligent population. Smart enough and with enough inexpensive labor to make things good enough to sell cheap enough to claim market share and make money. The really hard stuff; the sophisticated electronics, avionics, bioprocesses, and software they obviously stole from us. And, ignoring the obvious moral questions, what does that say about their spy/hacking/computer/skills?

Americans forget the ancient Chinese invented gunpowder, paper, printing, kites, and umbrellas. Americans don't do history. Witness Afghanistan. We’ve certainly forgotten that the Chinese invented thorough testing of the people in charge of government before they are allowed to serve. Maybe we should steal that from them. 

What I’m trying to say is we don’t give the Chinese the credit they deserve when it comes to "the big picture" intellectual processes and strategic thinking. Also, Americans don't take into consideration the advantage the Chinese possess in having a central authority figure. Xi Jinping, aside from Vladimir Putin, is the closest thing to a king that exists in this modern era. As such, the country can react with astonishing speed and amazing focus to deal with such disparate problems as pollution and unwanted domestic public opinions. 


Paper or plastic? … If you said “paper”, read this. Plastic? Read this.



The democratic process in America, on the other hand, has sidetracked our progress in dealing with climate change, slowed down social equality, and created a lot of noise that hinders our march towards a smart, healthy population with very few poor and uneducated. That is because it is a process and has its ups and downs. We will get back on track. It just takes time.

In the meantime, China has announced its intentions to march into the future by putting an outpost on the Moon. That is why it is developing the Long March 9, a rocket that will put 140 metric tons into low earth orbit and 50 metric tons into trans-lunar orbit. This is the same capability as the Saturn V, the rocket that took U.S. astronauts to the Moon. How old hat, you say. Been there, done that. 

What you may not know is that China is also heavily invested in nuclear fusion technology with its Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak, EAST, at a large research facility at Dongpu Science Island in Anhui Province.

Also, helium-3 will make nuclear fusion much more efficient and eliminate nuclear waste and radiation. 

Also, the Moon is littered with helium-3. There is an estimated 1,100,000 metric tons trapped in lunar soil worth about 3 billion dollars per ton. 

Are you beginning to get the picture? I’ll spell it out for you anyway. The future of the planet depends on cheap, non-polluting energy of which fusion will be the world champ. It doesn’t matter who develops practical fusion, it will be done in the next few decades and licensed to anyone willing to pay the price. Having an established outpost on the Moon, China will be in the catbird’s seat to provide the budding fusion industry with what it needs most; helium-3. Three point three quadrillion dollars worth of it. If they are also the lucky ones to crack the fusion puzzle, they will be the undisputed uber energy czars of the twenty first century. 


Paper bags take 5 X the water to make and 7 X the fuel to transport than plastic bags  



Pretty smart strategic thinking about the future, huh? With that kind of economic leverage China would never have to sweat the possibility of a trade war again.  However, it is not too late for two (and probably more) to play this game. By the time fusion technology is powering toasters, everyone will be wise to what the Moon represents for a nascent fusion industry. Perhaps we'll see a stampede of corporate startups to rival the dot com era. In fact, the Chinese are already in talks with the European Space Agency to make it a bilateral effort to build an outpost. We'll see how that works out.

In the meantime, while our current materials technology precludes the building of a space elevator on Earth, it will work on the Moon. This would be an efficient way to haul helium-3, water, and regolith into orbit around the Moon. Helium-3 goes to Earth's fusion reactors, water goes to needy vessels exploring the Solar System, and regolith is building material for space habitats. Recently discovered lava tubes on the Moon could provide inexpensive radiation shielding to the people carrying out lunar exploration and exploitation. Whether they want it or not, things are looking towards the Chinese enjoying a lot of company on the Moon.


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